US stocks slipped on Tuesday as Treasury yields fell and investors braced for the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision.
At the opening bell, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) traded flat after Monday’s gain of 1.2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell around 0.2%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) fell nearly 0.3%.
Bonds rallied after the US Treasury cut its estimate of how much the government would need to borrow in the fourth quarter, easing some pressure on stocks. The 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) slid to trade around 4.86%.
Fed policymakers have hinted that the recent surge in Treasury yields could be a factor in their decision making, given its tightening effect. Investors are highly focused on whether the central bank will hold interest rates steady, as most analysts expect, or hike at their meeting starting Tuesday. Their decision is due on Wednesday.
Read more: What the Fed rate-hike pause means for bank accounts, CDs, loans, and credit cards
Unusually, some stock investors are watching another event that day more closely: the US Treasury’s update on how much bond supply the government will put into the market next quarter. The focus is on what the release could imply for the direction of yields and in turn for stocks.
This season, strong earnings have so far not proven enough to lift the stock market, and reports have been mixed. Pfizer (PFE) posted its first quarterly loss since 2019 before the bell on Tuesday, while Caterpillar (CAT) shares slipped after the machine maker’s report signaled a waning in demand.
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Consumer confidence falls for third straight month
The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index declined to 102.6 in October, down from 104.3 in September but above Wall Street’s expectations for a reading of 100.5.
The Expectations Index fell to 75.6 from 76.4 in September. Traditionally, the index sitting below 80 signals a recession coming in the next year.
“October’s retreat reflected pullbacks in both the Present Situation and Expectations Index,” said Dana Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board. “Write-in responses showed that consumers continued to be preoccupied with rising prices in general and for grocery and gasoline prices in particular.
“Consumers also expressed concerns about the political situation and higher interest rates. Worries around war/conflicts also rose amid the recent turmoil in the Middle East. The decline in consumer confidence was evident across householders aged 35 and up, and not limited to any one income group.”
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Stocks fall ahead of Fed decision
Stocks fell on Tuesday as investors await the Federal Reserve’s upcoming decision on interest rates.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) dropped about 0.2% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) each fell roughly 0.3% and 0.5%, respectively, shortly after the opening bell. The yield on the 10-year Treasury (^TNX) dipped 1 basis point to trade near 4.86%.
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Stock futures edge up as Treasury yields retreat
Stocks on Wall Street were poised for a higher open Tuesday as Treasury yields slid and investors counted down to the Federal Reserve’s policy decision at the end of its two-day meeting on Wednesday.
Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) were up 0.17%, or 56 points, while S&P 500 (^GSPC) futures rose 0.22%. Contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (^NDX) traded just above the flatline with a 0.08% gain.
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